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Tuesday, January 20, 2004
A KERRY WIN IS A WIN FOR ALL CENTRISTS
Did the pundits really not see this one coming?
Of course, now all the left/right pundits are saying they saw it coming, but last night they all showed surprise. For those who live under a rock, Kerry won with 38%, Edwards a close second, and Dean a distant third. The tally here. All centrists understand that a Kerry victory at the convention will mean a REAL choice in November. Kerry represents a choice where we desperately need a choice: in health care, job creation, etc. Where we DON'T need a choice is on security...the American public, while many may be ambivalent on Iraq, will not trust their security to a Dean, and especially not to a freshman senator trial lawyer Edwards. Clark isn't a choice because he has no experience in the important areas: job creation, health care, etc.
What happened to Dean? Well, most pundits thought he would win the nomination at least because nominations are about staying true to the base, and Dean represents the base. However, his hot-headedness got the best of him. As Dee Dee Myers said on the Today show this morning, Dean was so busy playing to the crowds that he forgot to play to the cameras. Last night's "victory" celebration is a case in point. He riled up the crowd where he was and turned off EVERYONE who was watching on TV. Ms. Myers said that while he was busy exciting the crowds, he lost his message of change in Washington and talked NOTHING about the issues.
Is this so wrong? Should how well you play to the cameras really matter? ABSOLUTELY. The American public is not in the crowds, in the marching bands, in the organizing committees. The American public watches on TV and reads the pundits in the newspaper. If you want to win, you MUST talk to US, and you better bring a message. Kerry figured that out, and he won't forget it ever again.
Of course, all this doesn't matter. Save a stock market crash, Bush will win handily in November and there's nothing anyone can do about it. But Kerry will put up a good show. He's no Dukakis. Kerry, enjoy today. You're going to need the good spirits come November.
Of course, now all the left/right pundits are saying they saw it coming, but last night they all showed surprise. For those who live under a rock, Kerry won with 38%, Edwards a close second, and Dean a distant third. The tally here. All centrists understand that a Kerry victory at the convention will mean a REAL choice in November. Kerry represents a choice where we desperately need a choice: in health care, job creation, etc. Where we DON'T need a choice is on security...the American public, while many may be ambivalent on Iraq, will not trust their security to a Dean, and especially not to a freshman senator trial lawyer Edwards. Clark isn't a choice because he has no experience in the important areas: job creation, health care, etc.
What happened to Dean? Well, most pundits thought he would win the nomination at least because nominations are about staying true to the base, and Dean represents the base. However, his hot-headedness got the best of him. As Dee Dee Myers said on the Today show this morning, Dean was so busy playing to the crowds that he forgot to play to the cameras. Last night's "victory" celebration is a case in point. He riled up the crowd where he was and turned off EVERYONE who was watching on TV. Ms. Myers said that while he was busy exciting the crowds, he lost his message of change in Washington and talked NOTHING about the issues.
Is this so wrong? Should how well you play to the cameras really matter? ABSOLUTELY. The American public is not in the crowds, in the marching bands, in the organizing committees. The American public watches on TV and reads the pundits in the newspaper. If you want to win, you MUST talk to US, and you better bring a message. Kerry figured that out, and he won't forget it ever again.
Of course, all this doesn't matter. Save a stock market crash, Bush will win handily in November and there's nothing anyone can do about it. But Kerry will put up a good show. He's no Dukakis. Kerry, enjoy today. You're going to need the good spirits come November.